I'm sick of presidential markets closing prematurely, so I have created a market that can't be closed early. The election at this point should be decided by January 20th 2021, but as we are seeing there are no gaurentees, so this market asks who will be president on March 1st 2021 and it takes into account VP's so it can't be closed early.
Will Joe Biden complete atleast 1 term as US President. For this market to resolve in "Yes" Biden must be inauguarated as US President in January 2021 and remain US President until the end of the term in January 2025. All other outcomes end in "No"
Total number of COVID-19 deaths in the United States during the calander year from the beginning of the day January 1st 2021 to the end of the day December 31st 2021...total deaths will be taken from worldometers.info/coronavirus, if that site is unavailable data will be taken from the CDC.
Total number of COVID deaths in the US counted on June 1st 2021, this will include all COVID deaths in 2020 and 2021 upto June 1st. Data will be taken from https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us.
Total number of people in the US whos deaths are attributed to COVID-19 before June 1st 2021. Total death count will be taken from https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the individual who, as of the End Date listed below, serves as U.S.Secretary of Education subsequent to Senate-confirmation to that office.Upon the End Date, should the office of Secretary of Education be vacant or filled on an interim basis, all contracts shall resolve to No.
Contracts identifying additional individuals may be added to this market, as circumstances warrant, at any time prior to settlement.
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the individual who, as of the End Date listed below, serves as U.S.Secretary of Agriculture subsequent to Senate-confirmation to that office.Upon the End Date, should the office of Secretary of Agriculture be vacant or filled on an interim basis, all contracts shall resolve to No.
Contracts identifying additional individuals may be added to this market, as circumstances warrant, at any time prior to settlement.
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the individual who, as of the End Date listed below, serves as U.S.Secretary of Health and Human Services subsequent to Senate-confirmation to that office.Upon the End Date, should the office of Secretary of Health and Human Services be vacant or filled on an interim basis, all contracts shall resolve to No.
Contracts identifying additional individuals may be added to this market, as circumstances warrant, at any time prior to settlement.
During his first term, President Donald Trump shall grant clemency to political consultant Roger Jason Stone Jr.for one or more criminal offences, charges or convictions.Such clemency will be considered to have been granted only if Mr.Stone appears on the official list of presidential pardons and commutations granted by President Trump, maintained by the U.S.Department of Justice's Office of the Pardon Attorney (available upon launch of this market at https://www.justice.gov/pardon/clemencyrecipients) by 11:59 pm on February 15, 2021 (the “End Date”).
Clemency for Mr.Stone that is announced but does not appear on such official list by the End Date shall not be sufficient to cause this market to resolve Yes.Subsequent removal, revocation or legal challenge to a clemency grant that appears on the official list at any time before the End Date shall have no bearing on the outcome of this market.
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the individual who, as of the End Date listed below, serves as U.S.Secretary of Housing and Urban Development subsequent to Senate-confirmation to that office.Upon the End Date, should the office of Secretary of Housing and Urban Development be vacant or filled on an interim basis, all contracts shall resolve to No.
Contracts identifying additional individuals may be added to this market, as circumstances warrant, at any time prior to settlement.
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the individual who, as of the End Date listed below, serves as United States Trade Representative subsequent to Senate-confirmation to that office.Upon the End Date, should the office of United States Trade Representative be vacant or filled on an interim basis, all contracts shall resolve to No.
Contracts identifying additional individuals may be added to this market, as circumstances warrant, at any time prior to settlement.
This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that Donald Trump becomes a candidate for president of the United States in the 2024 general election by filing a Statement of Candidacy with the Federal Election Commission, or by amending an existing Statement of Candidacy, designating a principal campaign committee for the office of President of the United States in the 2024 election, or otherwise filing with the FEC a communication having the same effect as the filing of a Form 2 Statement of Candidacy for that election, before the End Date listed below.Filing by an authorized representative of the candidate shall be deemed filing by the candidate.
Absent such filing or decision, the market will not resolve to Yes, notwithstanding declarations by Mr.Trump and/or his representatives regarding intentions to run, fundraising activities, hiring of campaign staff, and/or establishment of other campaign infrastructure.
The filing of clerical, corrective, or other administrative updates, amendments, or disclosures related to Mr.Trump's previous campaigns or campaign committees will be insufficient to cause this market to resolve as Yes.
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the individual who, as of the End Date listed below, serves as U.S.Secretary of the Interior subsequent to Senate-confirmation to that office.Upon the End Date, should the office of Secretary of the Interior be vacant or filled on an interim basis, all contracts shall resolve to No.
Contracts identifying additional individuals may be added to this market, as circumstances warrant, at any time prior to settlement.
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the individual who, as of the End Date listed below, serves as Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency subsequent to Senate-confirmation to that office.Upon the End Date, should the office of Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency be vacant or filled on an interim basis, all contracts shall resolve to No.
Contracts identifying additional individuals may be added to this market, as circumstances warrant, at any time prior to settlement.
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the individual elected Mayor of New York, NY in the 2021 general election.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the individual who, as of the End Date listed below, serves as U.S.Secretary of Energy subsequent to Senate-confirmation to that office.Upon the End Date, should the office of Secretary of Energy be vacant or filled on an interim basis, all contracts shall resolve to No.
Contracts identifying additional individuals may be added to this market, as circumstances warrant, at any time prior to settlement.
Which political party will win the 2024 presidential election in the USA?
If there is any doubt as to the winner, it will be settled based on who is officially inaugurated and sworn in as president, whenever that takes place. Any political party other than the Democrats or Republicans will be considered as "third party." In the unlikely event there is no winner, bet will resolve for third party.
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the individual who, as of the End Date listed below, serves as U.S.Attorney General subsequent to Senate-confirmation to that office.Upon the End Date, should the office of Attorney General be vacant or filled on an interim basis, all contracts shall resolve to No.
Contracts identifying additional individuals may be added to this market, as circumstances warrant, at any time prior to settlement.
This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that proponents of the recall of California Governor Gavin Newsom shall, by March 17, 2021, file recall petitions sufficient to trigger a recall election.Review of any such timely filed petitions for sufficiency to trigger such recall election need not be complete by March 17, 2021.Any extension of time that may be granted to recall efforts currently underway shall have no bearing on the resolution of this market.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the individual who, as of the End Date listed below, serves as U.S.Secretary of Labor subsequent to Senate-confirmation to that office.Upon the End Date, should the office of Secretary of Labor be vacant or filled on an interim basis, all contracts shall resolve to No.
Contracts identifying additional individuals may be added to this market, as circumstances warrant, at any time prior to settlement.
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which names the party whose candidate wins the 2020 election to the House of Representatives from New York's 22nd Congressional District.A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that, after noon (ET) January 20, 2021 but before the End Date listed below, the U.S.Senate shall, by a vote of at least two-thirds of the Members present, convict Donald J.Trump on one or more articles of impeachment.
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the person who wins the 2024 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S.president.Replacement of the nominee for any reason prior to election day will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which corresponds to the number of U.S.House state delegations controlled by the Republican Party as a result of the 2020 general election.The Republican Party shall be considered to control any state delegation in which a majority of representatives have been elected with a ballot-listed or otherwise readily identifiable party preference as Republican on the day of the election.Should such preference be unidentifiable, a candidate shall be considered a Republican only if prior to the election he or she has most recently indicated an intention to caucus with Republicans.
Determination of a House seat won shall be based on state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2020 U.S.
Members of the House of Representatives who are "delegates” or “resident commissioners” not chosen by the people of a state are not included for purposes of resolving this market.
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the winner of the 2021 Virginia Republican gubernatorial nomination.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the number of seats in the Knesset won by the Likud Party in Israel's next legislative election.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the person who wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.president.Replacement of the nominee for any reason prior to election day will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which names the party whose candidate wins the 2020 election to the House of Representatives from Iowa's 2nd Congressional District.A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the number of parliamentary seats won by the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy (VVD) in the Netherlands' next general election.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
The contract that resolves to Yes shall correspond to the number or range of votes cast in the U.S.Senate, in a vote commencing before the End Date listed below, in favor of the confirmation of Antony Blinken to the position of Secretary of State, according to the official vote tally reported by the website senate.gov or, should that source be unavailable, the Congressional Record or other official source.
A vote on the nomination shall be considered to have commenced once at least one Senator has cast a vote.So long as such a vote commences before the End Date, the full results of the vote will be used to resolve this market, even if the vote concludes after the End Date.The results of the vote need not be available at the identified settlement source at the End Date.
Should no confirmation vote on the nomination of Mr.Blinken to the position of Secretary of State commence before the End Date; or should such a vote result in the rejection of the nominee via a procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes; or should Mr.Blinken be confirmed to position of Secretary of State in a vote that commences only after the End Date; the contract identifying the range "70 or fewer" shall resolve to Yes.Should a vote result in the confirmation of the nominee via a procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes, the contract identifying the range "95 or more" shall resolve to Yes.Should more than one Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Mr.Blinken to the position of Secretary of State be held before the End Date, the outcome of the first such vote will be used to resolve this market.
The outcomes of committee votes, hearings, or reports, cloture votes and other procedural votes will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
The contract that resolves to Yes shall correspond to the number or range of votes cast in the U.S.Senate, in a vote commencing before the End Date listed below, in favor of the confirmation of Janet Yellen to the position of Secretary of the Treasury, according to the official vote tally reported by the website senate.gov or, should that source be unavailable, the Congressional Record or other official source.
A vote on the nomination shall be considered to have commenced once at least one Senator has cast a vote.So long as such a vote commences before the End Date, the full results of the vote will be used to resolve this market, even if the vote concludes after the End Date.The results of the vote need not be available at the identified settlement source at the End Date.
Should no confirmation vote on the nomination of Ms.Yellen to the position of Secretary of the Treasury commence before the End Date; or should such a vote result in the rejection of the nominee via a procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes; or should Ms.Yellen be confirmed to position of Secretary of the Treasury in a vote that commences only after the End Date; the contract identifying the range "80 or fewer" shall resolve to Yes.Should a vote result in the confirmation of the nominee via a procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes, the contract identifying the range "99 or more" shall resolve to Yes.Should more than one Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Ms.Yellen to the position of Secretary of the Treasury be held before the End Date, the outcome of the first such vote will be used to resolve this market.
The outcomes of committee votes, hearings, or reports, cloture votes and other procedural votes will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
The contract that resolves to Yes shall correspond to the number or range of votes cast in the U.S.Senate, in a vote commencing before the End Date listed below, in favor of the confirmation of Pete Buttigieg to the position of Secretary of Transportation, according to the official vote tally reported by the website senate.gov or, should that source be unavailable, the Congressional Record or other official source.
A vote on the nomination shall be considered to have commenced once at least one Senator has cast a vote.So long as such a vote commences before the End Date, the full results of the vote will be used to resolve this market, even if the vote concludes after the End Date.The results of the vote need not be available at the identified settlement source at the End Date.
Should no confirmation vote on the nomination of Mr.Buttigieg to the position of Secretary of Transportation commence before the End Date; or should such a vote result in the rejection of the nominee via a procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes; or should Mr.Buttigieg be confirmed to position of Secretary of Transportation in a vote that commences only after the End Date; the contract identifying the range "70 or fewer" shall resolve to Yes.Should a vote result in the confirmation of the nominee via a procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes, the contract identifying the range "95 or more" shall resolve to Yes.Should more than one Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Mr.Buttigieg to the position of Secretary of Transportation be held before the End Date, the outcome of the first such vote will be used to resolve this market.
The outcomes of committee votes, hearings, or reports, cloture votes and other procedural votes will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the individual who, as of the End Date listed below, serves as U.S.Secretary of Commerce subsequent to Senate-confirmation to that office.Upon the End Date, should the office of Secretary of Commerce be vacant or filled on an interim basis, all contracts shall resolve to No.
Contracts identifying additional individuals may be added to this market, as circumstances warrant, at any time prior to settlement.
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the individual who, as of the End Date listed below, serves as Director of the Central Intelligence Agency subsequent to Senate-confirmation to that office.Upon the End Date, should the office of Director of the Central Intelligence Agency be vacant or filled on an interim basis, all contracts shall resolve to No.
Contracts identifying additional individuals may be added to this market, as circumstances warrant, at any time prior to settlement.
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the individual who, as of the End Date listed below, serves as Administrator of the United States Agency for International Development (USAID) subsequent to Senate-confirmation to that office.Upon the End Date, should the office of USAID Administrator be vacant or filled on an interim basis, all contracts shall resolve to No.
Contracts identifying additional individuals may be added to this market, as circumstances warrant, at any time prior to settlement.
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which corresponds to the number of members of the U.S.Senate casting votes to convict Donald J.Trump on the charge of incitement of insurrection, before the End Date listed below.
Should no such vote conclude before the End Date, or should such vote result in acquittal of Mr.Trump via voice vote or other procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes, the contract identifying the range "50 or fewer" shall resolve to Yes.Should such vote result in the conviction of Mr.Trump via voice vote or other procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes, the contract identifying the range "67 or more" shall resolve to Yes.
This market shall close upon the first such Senate vote.Any subsequent such Senate vote shall have no bearing on the resolution of this market.The Vice President, as President of the Senate, is not a Senator for purposes of this market.
The outcomes of committee votes, hearings, or reports, and cloture or other procedural votes will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that, by the End Date listed below, the U.S.Senate shall hold a vote on the conviction of Donald J.Trump in a Senate trial on the charge of incitement of insurrection ("Senate Vote"), and Senator Susan Collins (R-ME) votes to convict.Should no such Senate Vote conclude by the End Date, this market will resolve to No.
This market shall close upon the first such Senate Vote.Any subsequent Senate Vote shall have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Any Senate vote on potential conviction that does not result in the recording of votes shall not be considered sufficient for this market to resolve to Yes, regardless of the outcome of that vote.Any other type of vote (e.g., procedural votes, votes on whether to dismiss charges without trial, or votes on whether to call witnesses), shall have no bearing on the outcome of this market.
This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that, by the End Date listed below, the U.S.Senate shall hold a vote on the conviction of Donald J.Trump in a Senate trial on the charge of incitement of insurrection ("Senate Vote"), and Senator Mitch McConnell (R-KY) votes to convict.Should no such Senate Vote conclude by the End Date, this market will resolve to No.
This market shall close upon the first such Senate Vote.Any subsequent Senate Vote shall have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Any Senate vote on potential conviction that does not result in the recording of votes shall not be considered sufficient for this market to resolve to Yes, regardless of the outcome of that vote.Any other type of vote (e.g., procedural votes, votes on whether to dismiss charges without trial, or votes on whether to call witnesses), shall have no bearing on the outcome of this market.
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the Chancellor of Germany upon the End Date listed below, according to the United Nations' Protocol and Liaison Service's list of heads of state, located upon launch of this market at protocol.un.org/dgacm/pls/site.nsf/HSHGNFA.xsp (the "Settlement Source").
Which of these parties will provide the Prime Minister of Australia following the next (subsequent to May 2019) Federal Election? This market will be turned,IN PLAY,This is a,cross-matching,market.,BET IN-PLAY,Australian customers call Telbet to bet in-play on this market – call,132BET (132238)
When will the next UK General Election take place after the Election on the 12th December 2019?,This market will be settled on the morning of the General Election following the start of voting or on Jan 1 2024.
Which party will win the most parliamentary seats at the next UK general election?,This market will be,turned in-play,at the start of voting on the day of the next general election. Customers are entirely responsible for their positions at all times.,The Speaker will not be classified as belonging to any particular party, and will therefore not be counted in any individual party's seat totals.
Which party will gain an overall majority of parliamentary seats at the next UK general election?,This market will be,turned in-play,at the start of voting on the day of the next general election. Customers are entirely responsible for their positions at all times.,The Speaker will not be classified as belonging to any particular party, and will therefore not be counted in any individual party's seat totals.
