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News Prediction Markets

Predict election outcomes and Trump’s exit date on the Fairlay news section. Bet on the Game of Thrones characters using Bitcoins and be crowned with the Iron Throne. Forecast anything; from entertainment to politics and win big!

Who will be elected New York City mayor in 2021?

The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the individual elected Mayor of New York, NY in the 2021 general election.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.

Who will be chancellor of Germany on Dec. 31, 2021?

The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the Chancellor of Germany upon the End Date listed below, according to the United Nations' Protocol and Liaison Service's list of heads of state, located upon launch of this market at protocol.un.org/dgacm/pls/site.nsf/HSHGNFA.xsp (the "Settlement Source").

End Date: 12/31/2021 6:00 PM (ET).

Who will win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?

The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the person who wins the 2024 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S.president.Replacement of the nominee for any reason prior to election day will have no impact on the resolution of this market.

Which party will win the U.S. Senate election in Florida in 2022?

The winner of the 2022 Florida general election for U.S.Senate shall be the nominee of, or have a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference of, the party identified in the contract.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.

Who will win the 2022 Florida gubernatorial election?

The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the winner of the 2022 Florida gubernatorial election.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.

Most Seats

Which Partly will win the most seats as a result of the 2021 German election?,At the start of voting on the day of the election, this market will be,turned in-play,with unmatched bets cancelled. Customers are entirely responsible for their positions at all times.,This market will be void if an election does not take place in 2021. If more than one election takes place in 2021, then this market will apply to the first election that is held.

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Will Joe Biden Complete his first term as President?

Will Joe Biden complete atleast 1 term as US President. For this market to resolve in "Yes" Biden must be inauguarated as US President in January 2021 and remain US President until the end of the term in January 2025. All other outcomes end in "No"

Who will win the 2022 New York Democratic gubernatorial nomination?

The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the winner of the 2022 Democratic nomination for Governor of New York.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.

Who will win the 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?

The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the person who wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.president.Replacement of the nominee for any reason prior to election day will have no impact on the resolution of this market.

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Biden US President 2022

Will Joe Biden still be US President at the beginning of 2022?

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2024 United States Presidential Election: Which political party will win?

Which political party will win the 2024 presidential election in the USA? If there is any doubt as to the winner, it will be settled based on who is officially inaugurated and sworn in as president, whenever that takes place. Any political party other than the Democrats or Republicans will be considered as "third party." In the unlikely event there is no winner, bet will resolve for third party.

Will Joe Biden resign during his first term?

This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that President Joe Biden resigns and permanently departs from the office of the presidency before the End Date listed below.A temporary transfer of presidential powers and duties under Section 3 of the 25th Amendment to the U.S.Constitution shall not be sufficient to cause this market to resolve to Yes.

End Date: 01/20/2025 11:59 AM (ET).

Party of Chancellor after 2021 election

Which Party's candidate will be elected/appointed the next Chancellor of Germany as a result of the 2021 German election?,If a new Chancellor is not elected/appointed as a result of the first 2021 German federal election and a new election is called by the President of Germany then this market will be void.,At the start of voting on the day of the election, this market will be,turned in-play,with unmatched bets cancelled. Customers are entirely responsible for their positions at all times.

How many tie-breaking Senate votes will Kamala Harris cast in 2021?

The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the total number of tie-breaking votes cast by Vice President Kamala Harris in the 2021 calendar year, in her role as ex officio President of the U.S.Senate, according to the "Tie Votes" webpage on the U.S.Senate website (located upon launch of this market at https://www.senate.gov/pagelayout/reference/four_column_table/Tie_Votes.htm).

End Date: 12/31/2021 11:59 PM (ET).

Which parties will be in the next German coalition?



The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the parties that shall make up the first governing coalition of Germany subsequent to the next federal election.

A party shall be considered to be part of a governing coalition if a majority of its representatives in the Bundestag cast a vote in favor of the election of the next Chancellor of Germany subsequent to the next federal election.

For purposes of this market, any contract that references the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) shall also be considered to reference the Christian Social Union in Bavaria.

Supplementary Comment(s)

Created On: 09/02/2021 12:48 PM (ET)
In response to trader inquiry: The contract that resolves to Yes shall list all of the parties that make up the coalition, and only those parties.For example, if a contract lists only two parties and the coalition includes more than just those two, that contract will resolve as No.Potential coalitions may be added to this market as needed.

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Chancellor after 2021 Election

Who will be elected/appointed the next Chancellor of Germany as a result of the 2021 German election?,If a new Chancellor is not elected/appointed as a result of the first 2021 German federal election and a new election is called by the President of Germany then this market will be void.,At the start of voting on the day of the election, this market will be,turned in-play,with unmatched bets cancelled. Customers are entirely responsible for their positions at all times.

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Total COVID deaths in USA in 2021

Total number of COVID-19 deaths in the United States during the calander year from the beginning of the day January 1st 2021 to the end of the day December 31st 2021...total deaths will be taken from worldometers.info/coronavirus, if that site is unavailable data will be taken from the CDC.

Which party will win the most seats in the Canadian federal election?

The next Canadian federal election will be held on September 20, 2021. This market will resolve to the party winning the most seats in the election (which may not necessarily be the party forming the next government or the party of the next Prime Minister).

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Next Chancellor after 2021 Election

Who will be appointed the next Chancellor of Germany? If a not listed candidate is appointed or there is no Chancellor at all appointed as a result of the 2021 German federal election and the President of Germany dissolves the Bundestag then the market will be resolved for 'Any Other'. At the start of voting on the day of the election, this market will be,turned in-play, with unmatched bets cancelled.

Which party will win the 2021 Bundestag election?

The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which names the party which is winning the most second votes. The second votes are used to produce an overall proportional result in the states and then in the Bundestag. The contract CDU/CSU consists of the sum of Votes for both parties, CDU and CSU.

Who will win the 2022 Pennsylvania Democratic Senate nomination?

The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the winner of the 2022 Pennsylvania Democratic nomination for U.S.Senate.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.

Who will win the 2022 Missouri Republican Senate nomination?

The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the winner of the 2022 Missouri Republican nomination for U.S.Senate.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.

Who will win the 2022 Georgia Republican Senate nomination?

The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the winner of the 2022 Georgia Republican nomination for U.S.Senate.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.

Nobel Peace Prize 2021 Winner

The market will resolve to the laureate of the 2021 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. The laureate is scheduled to be announced on 8 October 2021.

Australian Federal Election In 2021?

This is a,cross-matching,market.

Who will be the next Senate-confirmed OMB Director?

The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the next individual to receive Senate confirmation to the position of Director of the Office of Management and Budget following launch of this market on February 22, 2021.

Should no one be confirmed to the position of Director of the Office of Management and Budget by the End Date listed below, all contracts in this market shall resolve to No.

A vote on the nomination shall be considered to have commenced once at least one Senator has cast a vote.So long as such a vote commences before the End Date, the full results of the vote shall be used to resolve this market, even if the vote concludes after the End Date.The results of the vote need not be available at the identified settlement source at the End Date.

End Date: 12/31/2021 11:59 PM (ET).

Winning Party

Which party's nominee will win the next French presidential election?,This market will be,turned in-play,at the start of voting on the day of the 1st round of the election, as well as the start of the 2nd round of voting. Thereafter, the market will not be actively managed. Customers are entirely responsible for their bets at all times. Non featured parties may be added to this market upon request.,Should a Party change only its name and maintain its original composition, then that Party will continue to trade under its original name.

Next Australian Federal Election

Which of these parties will provide the Prime Minister of Australia following the next (subsequent to May 2019) Federal Election? This market will be turned,IN PLAY,This is a,cross-matching,market.,BET IN-PLAY,Australian customers call Telbet to bet in-play on this market – call,132BET (132238)

President after 2022 Election

Who will be elected to be the next President of Brazil as a result of the 2022 Brazilian General Election?,This market will be,turned in-play,at the start of voting on the day of the 1st round of the election, as well as the start of the 2nd round of voting. Thereafter, the market will not be actively managed. Customers are entirely responsible for their bets at all times.

House Of Representatives Majority

Which party will control a majority of House of Representatives seats as a result of the 2022 US House of Representatives elections?,This market will be,turned in-play,, with unmatched bets cancelled, at the stated time on the day of election. Thereafter, the market will not be actively managed and customers are entirely responsible for their bets at all times.,For the purpose of this market, a majority of seats requires either named party to control at least 218 of the total 435 US House of Representatives seats, as a result of the 2022 US House of Representatives elections. Independent or any other party Representatives caucusing with either the Democrats or Republicans will not count for the purposes of this market.

Senate Majority

Which party will control a majority of seats as a result of the 2022 US Senate elections?,Note: A majority of seats requires either party to control at least 51 of the 100 Seats in the US Senate. Independent or any other party Representatives caucusing with either the Democrats or Republicans will NOT count for the purposes of this market,Unmatched bets will not be cancelled at any point up until the stated time on the day of election when this market will be,turned in-play,. Thereafter, the market will not be actively managed and users are responsible for their positions.,Where a runoff is required to determine who wins Senate seats we will wait for the result of the runoff before settling the market on the final Senate seat numbers once all results are in

Which party will control the Senate after 2022 election?

The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the party that, at the End Date listed below, enjoys the support of more than half of the voting members of the U.S.Senate or, in the event that the vice president has the same party affiliation, the support of half or more of the voting members.For purposes of resolving this market, a Senator's party affiliation or support shall be determined by whichever party s caucus she or he is a member of on the End Date.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.

End Date: 01/31/2023 11:59 PM (ET).

Most Seats

Which party will win the most parliamentary seats at the next UK general election?,This market will be,turned in-play,at the start of voting on the day of the next general election. Customers are entirely responsible for their positions at all times.,The Speaker will not be classified as belonging to any particular party, and will therefore not be counted in any individual party's seat totals.

Year Of Next UK General Election

When will the next UK General Election take place after the Election on the 12th December 2019?,This market will be settled on the morning of the General Election following the start of voting or on Jan 1 2024.

Overall Majority

Which party will gain an overall majority of parliamentary seats at the next UK general election?,This market will be,turned in-play,at the start of voting on the day of the next general election. Customers are entirely responsible for their positions at all times.,The Speaker will not be classified as belonging to any particular party, and will therefore not be counted in any individual party's seat totals.

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