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News Prediction Markets

Predict election outcomes and Trump’s exit date on the Fairlay news section. Bet on the Game of Thrones characters using Bitcoins and be crowned with the Iron Throne. Forecast anything; from entertainment to politics and win big!

Next President

2020-election-winner

COVID-19 Deaths in USA 2020

Total number of deaths in the USA contributed to COVID-19 during 2020

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COVID-19 Deaths in USA 2020

Total number of people in the US whos deaths are attributed to COVID-19 in 2020. Total death count will be taken from https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us

Presidential Election Winner

Who will be the winner of U.S. Presidential Election in November 2020? The election of President and Vice President of the United States is an indirect election in which citizens of the United States who are registered to vote in one of the 50 U.S. states or Washington, D.C. cast ballots for members of the U.S. Electoral College, known as electors. These electors then in turn cast direct votes, known as electoral votes, for President and Vice President. The candidate who receives an absolute majority of electoral votes for President or Vice President (currently, at least 270 out of a total of 538) is then elected to that office.

Winning Party

Which party's nominee will win the 2020 U.S. Presidential Election? Unmatched bets will not be cancelled at any point up until the start of voting on the day of the election when this market will be turned in-play. Thereafter the market will not be actively managed and customers are solely responsible for their own positions at all times. Additional parties may be added to this market on request.

US President Election Winner 2020

Who will win the 2020 United States Presidential Election?

Joe Biden Democrat Nominee Nov. 3rd

Will Joe Biden be the Democrat nominee for US President 2020 during the Presidential Election on Nov 3rd 2020. This bet is not for Biden to be the nominee for the June convention, instead it is that he will be the nominee the represents the Democrats during the actual election proven by his name being the main Democrat name on the ballot.

Popular Vote Winner

Which candidate will win the popular vote at the 2020 US Presidential election?,Unmatched bets will not be cancelled at any point up until the stated time on the day of election when the market will be,turned in-play,. Thereafter the market will not be actively managed and users are responsible for their positions.,Note: This market will be settled upon popular vote percentage figures as published by CNN,If any of the named candidates do not contest the 2020 election they will be settled as losers , should an unnamed candidate win the popular vote, all bets on this market will be void .

House Majority

Which party will control a majority of House of Representatives seats as a result of the 2020 US House of Representatives elections?,This market will be,turned in-play,, with unmatched bets cancelled, at the stated time on the day of election. Thereafter, the market will not be actively managed and customers are entirely responsible for their bets at all times.,For the purpose of this market, a majority of seats requires either named party to control at least 218 of the total 435 US House of Representatives seats, as a result of the 2020 US House of Representatives elections. Independent or any other party Representatives caucusing with either the Democrats or Republicans will not count for the purposes of this market.

Trump Exit Date 2

When will Donald Trump officially cease to be the US President? What are the odds of Trump surviving 2018 in office? The market thinks that the threats to Trump’s presidency are many- the Mueller investigation, rumours of early-stage dementia, former staffers with axes to grind, and the list continues. Bet with the best Trump exit date Politics odds on Fairlay betting exchange.

Senate Majority

Which party will control a majority of seats as a result of the 2020 US Senate elections?,Note: A majority of seats requires either party to control at least 51 of the 100 Seats in the US Senate. Independent or any other party Representatives caucusing with either the Democrats or Republicans will NOT count for the purposes of this market,Unmatched bets will not be cancelled at any point up until the stated time on the day of election when this market will be,turned in-play,. Thereafter, the market will not be actively managed and users are responsible for their positions.

Electoral College Margin of victory 2020 Presidential Election

What will be the margin of difference between Democrats and Republican in the 2020 US Presidential Election?

What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2020 election?

On January 21, 2021, the balance of power in the U.S.Congress shall reflect the characterization in the question, per the definitions listed below."Republican Senate" means 51 or more sitting U.S.Senators were elected with a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with, or have publicly stated an intention to caucus with the Republican Party."Democratic Senate" means 51 or more sitting U.S.Senators were elected with a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with, or have publicly stated an intention to caucus with the Democratic Party."Republican House" means 218 or more sitting U.S.Representatives were elected with a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with, or have publicly stated an intention to caucus with the Republican Party."Democratic House" means 218 or more sitting U.S.Representatives were elected with a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with, or have publicly stated an intention to caucus with the Democratic Party.For purposes of this market, the Vice President, in his role as ex officio President of the U.S.Senate, will be counted as a sitting U.S.senator.End Date: 01/21/2021 12:00 AM (ET).

COVID-19 Deaths in USA 2020

How many deaths in the USA will be attributed to COVID-19 in 2020 according to the CDC?

Which party will control the Senate after 2020 election?

At 11:59:59 p.m.(ET) on January 31, 2021, the number of U.S.senators who were elected with a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with, or who have publicly stated an intention to caucus with the party identified in the question, shall, if the vice president has the same party affiliation, be equal to or greater than half the number of voting members of the U.S.Senate, and if the vice president has a different party affiliation, be greater than half the number of voting members of the U.S.Senate.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.End Date: 01/31/2021 11:59 PM (ET).

2020 USA Pennsylvania Election Winner

Which party will win Pennsylvania in the 2020 US Presidential Election?

Will a woman be elected U.S. vice president in 2020?

The candidate elected vice president in the 2020 U.S.general election shall be female.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.

End Date: 12/31/2020 12:00 AM (ET).

Will Trump grant clemency to Roger Stone in his first term?

During his first term, President Donald Trump shall grant clemency to political consultant Roger Jason Stone Jr.for one or more criminal offences, charges or convictions.Such clemency will be considered to have been granted only if Mr.Stone appears on the official list of presidential pardons and commutations granted by President Trump, maintained by the U.S.Department of Justice's Office of the Pardon Attorney (available upon launch of this market at https://www.justice.gov/pardon/clemencyrecipients) by 11:59 pm on February 15, 2021 (the “End Date”).

Clemency for Mr.Stone that is announced but does not appear on such official list by the End Date shall not be sufficient to cause this market to resolve Yes.Subsequent removal, revocation or legal challenge to a clemency grant that appears on the official list at any time before the End Date shall have no bearing on the outcome of this market.

End Date: 02/15/2021 11:59 PM (ET).

Will Kim Jong-Un be Supreme Leader of North Korea on Dec. 31?

This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that Kim Jong Un is Head of State of the Democratic People's Republic of Korea at the End Date listed below, according to the United Nations' Protocol and Liaison Service's list of heads of state, located upon launch of this market at protocol.un.org/dgacm/pls/site.nsf/HSHGNFA.xsp (the "Settlement Source").

End Date: 12/31/2020 11:59 PM (ET).

Which party will win the U.S. Senate election in Michigan in 2020?

The winner of the 2020 Michigan general election for U.S.Senate shall be the nominee of, or have a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference of, the party identified in the question.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.

End Date: N/A.

When will the presidential election outcome be called?

The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which corresponds to the first date or date range (ET) when the Fox News and CNN networks will have both officially declared, or otherwise projected, the same person as the winner of the 2020 U.S.Presidential election, such that both networks' qualifying declarations or projections are in effect at the same time.

Once the conditions for a Yes outcome have been met, subsequent rescission or revocation of a qualifying declaration or projection shall have no bearing on the outcome of this market.

In the event that no other contract has resolved to Yes by December 14, 2020, the contract "After December 14" shall resolve to Yes.

End Date: 12/14/2020 11:59 PM (ET).

Trump Electoral College Votes

How many electoral college votes will Donald Trump be projected to win as a result of the 2020 US presidential election?,This market will be,turned in-play,at the stated time on the day of the election. Thereafter the market will not be actively managed. Customers are entirely responsible for their bets at all times.,This market will be settled according to the popular vote won at the 2020 presidential election and the respective projected electoral college votes. Any subsequent events i.e. a ‘faithless elector’ would have no effect on the settlement of this market.,This market will be void if an election does not take place in 2020, or the named candidate does not contest the election. If more than one election takes place in 2020, then this market will apply to the first election that is held.

Will there be a recession in Trump's 1st term?

The economic expansion in the US marked its ninth birthday in July 2018. If it survives another year, it will be the longest on record! Will there be a recession in Trump’s 1st term in office? Bet for or against this market and earn big prizes.

Will there be a US recession by the end of 2020?

Will there be a US recession by the end of 2020?,For the purposes of this market a recession is defined as two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth based on rates released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). We will only settle once final quarterly revisions have been released by the BEA.,Rule updated 10/09/2019

Will a federal charge against Rudy Giuliani be confirmed by Dec. 31, 2020?

Subsequent to the launch of this market, former mayor of New York Rudolph Giuliani shall be indicted or otherwise formally charged with a federal crime, as publicly confirmed on or before December 31, 2020 by an authorized representative of the charging agency(ies) or judicial venue(s).

End Date: 12/31/2020 11:59 PM (ET).

GA winner US Presidential Election

Which candidate will win the state of Georgia in the 2020 US Presidential Election?

Will Next President Lose Popular Vote?

Will the candidate elected to be the next President of the United States of America lose the popular vote?,This market will be,turned in-play,at the stated time on the day of the election. Thereafter the market will not be actively managed. Customers are entirely responsible for their bets at all times.,This market will be settled with the next president deemed to be the candidate that has the most projected Electoral College votes won at the 2020 presidential election, and the popular vote taken from the 2020 presidential election. Any subsequent events such as a ‘faithless elector’ will have no effect on the settlement of this market. In the event that no Presidential candidate receives a majority of the projected Electoral College votes, this market will be settled on the person chosen as President in accordance with the procedures set out by the Twelfth Amendment to the United States Constitution.,This market will be void if an election does not take place in 2020. If more than one election takes place in 2020, then this market will apply to the first election that is held.,Additional candidates may be added to this market on request.

NC Winning Party 2020 Presidential Election

Which candidate will win the state of North Carolina in the 2020 US Presidential Election?

Texas Winner

Which party will win the popular vote in the named state at the 2020 US presidential election?,This market will be,turned in-play,at the stated time on the day of the election. Thereafter the market will not be actively managed. Customers are entirely responsible for their bets at all times.,This market will be void if an election does not take place in 2020. If more than one election takes place in 2020, then this market will apply to the first election that is held. Once voting (whether postal, electronic or at the ballot box) begins in the year 2020 for the US Presidential Election 2020, the election will be deemed to have taken place for the purposes of this market. We will then settle the market as per our rules regardless of whether the election process is fully completed in 2020 or beyond,Please note, due to internal administrative procedures, the indicated start date/time of this market is subject to change. This will have no impact on settlement as detailed in our market specific rules. Any changes to the start time/date will be recorded in the market rules.16:00 17/06/2020 – Rule was updated to reflect the above

How many Democratic absentee ballots reported in North Carolina on Sep. 22?

The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the number of registered Democrats whose absentee ballots have been officially reported by the North Carolina State Board of Elections (NCBSE) on its September 22, 2020 update for ballots processed through the day before ("Update").At the time of the launch of this market, NCBSE s absentee ballot updates are reported through https://www.ncsbe.gov/results-data/absentee-data.

Should the result fall precisely on the threshold between two contracts, this market will resolve to the contract with the higher numerical range.

End Date: 09/22/2020 11:59 AM (ET).

Which party will win Virginia in the 2020 presidential election?

The winner of the popular vote in Virginia for the 2020 general election for U.S.President shall be the nominee of, or have a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference of, the party identified in the contract.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.

End Date: N/A.

Which party will win Colorado in the 2020 presidential election?

The winner of the popular vote in Colorado for the 2020 general election for U.S.President shall be the nominee of, or have a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference of, the party identified in the contract.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.

End Date: N/A.

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