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News Prediction Markets

Predict election outcomes and Trump’s exit date on the Fairlay news section. Bet on the Game of Thrones characters using Bitcoins and be crowned with the Iron Throne. Forecast anything; from entertainment to politics and win big!

Next President

2020-election-winner

Michael Bloomberg +1923.0
Donald Trump +147.4
Bernie Sanders +250.0
Joe Biden -140.0
Kamala Harris +693.0
Andrew Yang +3663.0

Presidential Election Winner

Who will be the winner of …

Joe Biden -140.0
Donald Trump +115.0
Kamala Harris +1581.7
Bernie Sanders +1173.4

US President Election Winner 2020

Who will win the 2020 United …

Trump +115.0
Biden -150.1

COVID-19 Deaths in USA 2020

Total number of deaths in the …

Under 250k deaths -312.5

Joe Biden Democrat Nominee Nov. 3rd

Will Joe Biden be the Democrat …

Biden Dem Nominee -1111.1

Popular Vote Winner

Which candidate will win the popular …

Joe Biden -389.1
Donald Trump +500.5

Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in 2020?

The candidate receiving the most votes …

Yes +550.0

Winning Party

Which party's nominee will win the …

Democrats -170.0

Who will win the 2020 Democratic vice presidential nomination?

The individual identified in the question …

Harris +100.0
Warren +694.6
Demings +373.6
Rice +473.0

Will Donald Trump complete his first term?

Donald Trump shall be president of …

Yes -806.4

Which party will win Texas in the 2020 presidential election?

The winner of the popular vote …

Republican -162.8

Which party will win Wisconsin in the 2020 presidential election?

The winner of the popular vote …

Democratic -168.6

Which party will win Michigan in the 2020 presidential election?

The winner of the popular vote …

Democratic -279.3

Trump Exit Date 2

When will Donald Trump officially cease …

2018 +1149.4
2020 +771.7
2021 +141.0
2025 or later +184.7
2019 +475.4

Will Kim Jong-Un be Supreme Leader of North Korea on Dec. 31?

This market shall resolve to Yes …

Yes -862.0

Will Mike Pence be the 2020 Republican nominee for vice president?

Mike Pence shall win the 2020 …

Yes -641.0

Will a woman be elected U.S. vice president in 2020?

The candidate elected vice president in …

Yes -162.6

What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2020 election?

On January 21, 2021, the balance …

R House, R Senate +262.3
D House, D Senate -129.1
D House, R Senate +113.8

Who will be Trump's next Supreme Court nominee?

Following the launch of this Market, …

Mansfield +107.9

Which party will win Arizona in the 2020 presidential election?

The winner of the popular vote …

Democratic -155.5

Will Donald Trump win any state he lost in 2016?

This market shall resolve to Yes …

Yes +216.0

COVID-19 Deaths in USA 2020

How many deaths in the USA …

Under 1 million deaths -105.2

What will be the net change in Senate seats, by party?

The winning contract shall be that …

Dems +3 +657.6
Dems +4 +558.7
Dems +2 +598.6
Dems +5 +701.5
Dems +7 or more +604.8

Will the US economy hit 5.0%+ GDP growth by year-end 2020?



The annual rate of increase in …

Yes -281.6

Will Hillary Clinton run for president in 2020?

Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton …

Yes +693.7

Which party will control the Senate after 2020 election?

At 11:59:59 p.m.(ET) on January 31, …

Republican +123.0

Who will be the next justice to leave the Supreme Court?

The individual named in the question …

Ginsburg -204.0

Which party will win Minnesota in the 2020 presidential election?

The winner of the popular vote …

Democratic -257.0

Senate Majority

Which party will control a majority …

Republican Majority +177.4

Which of these 5 European leaders will leave office next?

Following the launch of this market, …

Merkel -166.1

Which party will win Florida in the 2020 presidential election?

The winner of the popular vote …

Republican +134.2

House Majority

Which party will control a majority …

Republicans +401.1

How many House seats will Democrats win in the 2020 election?

The contract resolving to Yes will …

246 or more +207.0

Will a federal charge against Rudy Giuliani be confirmed by Dec. 31, 2020?

Subsequent to the launch of this …

Yes +241.3

What will be the Electoral College margin in the 2020 presidential election?



The winning contract shall be that …

Dems by 150 - 209 +532.7
Dems by 210 - 279 +630.5

What will be the popular vote margin in the 2020 presidential election?

The winning contract shall be that …

Dems by 3% - 4.5% +651.8

When will Joe Biden announce his choice for vice president?

The contract that resolves to Yes …

August 2 to 8 +288.8
July 26 to Aug. 1 +169.1

2020 USA Pennsylvania Election Winner

Which party will win Pennsylvania in …

Democrats -175.1

Democratic Nominee

democratic-nominee-2020

Beto O'Rourke +1212.2
Pete Buttigieg +1200.0
Andrew Yang +2500.0
Joe Biden +292.0
Bernie Sanders +250.0
Oprah Winfrey +4059.0
Kamala Harris +376.2

Who will win the 2020 Alabama Republican Senate primary?

The winner of the 2020 Alabama …

Which party will win Georgia in the 2020 presidential election?

The winner of the popular vote …

Will the 2020 MA Democratic primary winner win the presidency?

The winner of largest share of …

Which party will win Nevada in the 2020 presidential election?

The winner of the popular vote …

Which party will win North Carolina in the 2020 presidential election?

The winner of the popular vote …

Which party will win the U.S. Senate election in South Carolina in 2020?

The winner of the 2020 South …

Will Democrats win the White House, Senate and House in 2020?

This market shall resolve to Yes …

Which party will win Pennsylvania in the 2020 presidential election?

The winner of the popular vote …

Which U.S. Senate race will be won by the smallest margin?

The contract that resolves to Yes …

What will be the 'tipping point' jurisdiction in 2020?

The contract that resolves to Yes …

Which party will win Ohio in the 2020 presidential election?

The winner of the popular vote …

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