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2024 United States Presidential Election: Which political party will win?Which political party will win the 2024 presidential election in the USA? If there is any doubt as to the winner, it will be settled based on who is officially inaugurated and sworn in as president, whenever that takes place. Any political party other than the Democrats or Republicans will be considered as "third party." In the unlikely event there is no winner, bet will resolve for third party. |
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Which party will win the House in the 2022 election?The contract that resolves to Yes shall identify the political party whose candidates are elected in a majority of districts in the U.S.House of Representatives in the 2022 general election.A candidate shall be considered to be associated with a political party if such candidate is elected with a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party or in the event that such candidate, as of 12:01 a.m.(ET) on November 8, 2022, most recently publicly stated an intention to caucus with that party.
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0.00 mBTC1Â week to end
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Who will be elected New York City mayor in 2021?The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the individual elected Mayor of New York, NY in the 2021 general election.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances. |
32.32 mBTC1Â week to end
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Who will win the 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the person who wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.president.Replacement of the nominee for any reason prior to election day will have no impact on the resolution of this market. |
10.96 mBTC1Â week to end
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Will Donald Trump file to run for president before the end of 2021?This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that Donald Trump becomes a candidate for president of the United States in the 2024 general election by filing a Statement of Candidacy with the Federal Election Commission, or by amending an existing Statement of Candidacy, designating a principal campaign committee for the office of President of the United States in the 2024 election, or otherwise filing with the FEC a communication having the same effect as the filing of a Form 2 Statement of Candidacy for that election, before the End Date listed below.Filing by an authorized representative of the candidate shall be deemed filing by the candidate.
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Which party will win the 2021 Virginia gubernatorial election?The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which names the party whose candidate wins the 2021 Virginia gubernatorial election.A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.
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Who will win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the person who wins the 2024 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S.president.Replacement of the nominee for any reason prior to election day will have no impact on the resolution of this market. |
2.49 mBTC1Â week to end
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Will the federal minimum wage be $9.50 per hour or higher by September 1?This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that the federal minimum wage in effect for covered non-exempt employees is $9.50 or more per hour at any point between the launch of this market and the End Date listed below, according to the U.S.Department of Labor.
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How many Deputy Secretaries will be confirmed by April 16?The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the total number of principal Deputy Secretaries, from the fifteen executive departments of the U.S.government, who will have been confirmed by the Senate to their respective positions by the End Date listed below.This market specifically excludes an officeholder with the title of Deputy Secretary who is not the second-highest-ranking official in the department (for example, the Deputy Secretary of State for Management & Resources).
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Which party will win the 2024 U.S. presidential election?The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the party whose candidate on Election Day wins the 2024 U.S.presidential election.
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How many Biden Cabinet members will Josh Hawley vote against?
Supplementary Comment(s) |
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Who will win the 2022 Ohio Republican Senate primary?The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the winner of the 2022 Ohio Republican primary election for U.S.Senate.Should no such primary election be held, due to a single candidate running unopposed, that candidate will be considered the winner of the primary election for purposes of this market.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances. |
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Will Lara Trump run in the 2022 North Carolina Republican Senate primary?This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that Lara Lea Trump is a ballot-listed candidate in the 2022 Republican primary election for Senator from North Carolina.Should no such primary election be held, due to Ms.Trump running unopposed, this market will resolve as Yes.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances. |
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Who will win the 2021 Virginia Republican gubernatorial nomination?The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the winner of the 2021 Virginia Republican gubernatorial nomination.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances. |
0.00 mBTC1Â week to end
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Which of these 10 African leaders will leave office next?The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the first individual, among those named in the contracts in this market, to cease formally to hold the position of head of state or government that he holds upon launch of this market on February 9, 2021.No additional contracts shall be added to this market following its launch.un.org/dgacm/pls/site.nsf/HSHGNFA.xsp (the "Settlement Source"), in order to resolve this market.An incumbent shall be considered no longer to hold his position on the day that the Settlement Source provides for the vacancy or appointment of another person to that position.
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0.00 mBTC1Â week to end
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Will Liz Cheney win the 2022 House GOP nomination in WY-AL?This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that Rep.Liz Cheney wins the 2022 Republican nomination for Representative in Congress from Wyoming's At-Large district.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances. |
0.00 mBTC1Â week to end
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Which of these ten G20 leaders will leave office next?The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the first individual, among those named in the contracts in this market, to cease formally to hold the position of head of state or government that he holds upon launch of this market on February 11, 2021.No additional contracts shall be added to this market following its launch.un.org/dgacm/pls/site.nsf/HSHGNFA.xsp (the "Settlement Source"), in order to resolve this market.An incumbent shall be considered no longer to hold his position on the day that the Settlement Source provides for the vacancy or appointment of another person to that position.
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0.00 mBTC1Â week to end
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Which party will win the U.S. Senate election in Florida in 2022?The winner of the 2022 Florida general election for U.S.Senate shall be the nominee of, or have a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference of, the party identified in the contract.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances. |
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Which party will win the 2021 New Jersey gubernatorial election?The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which names the party whose candidate wins the 2021 New Jersey gubernatorial election.A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances. |
0.00 mBTC1Â week to end
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Which of these 10 European leaders will leave office next?The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the first individual, among those named in the contracts in this market, to cease formally to hold the position of head of state or government that he or she holds upon launch of this market on February 26, 2021.No additional contracts shall be added to this market following its launch.un.org/dgacm/pls/site.nsf/HSHGNFA.xsp (the "Settlement Source"), in order to resolve this market.An incumbent shall be considered no longer to hold his or her position on the day that the Settlement Source provides for the vacancy or appointment of another person to that position.
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0.00 mBTC1Â week to end
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Who will win the 2021 special election in Louisiana's 2nd District?The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the winner of the 2021 special election for U.S.Representative from Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District, whether via an outright majority in the first round or in the subsequent runoff, should one be necessary.
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0.00 mBTC1Â week to end
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Who will be elected mayor of Boston in 2021?The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the person elected Mayor of Boston, MA in the first mayoral election held in 2021.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances. |
0.00 mBTC1Â week to end
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