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The candidate named in the question shall be elected chancellor of Germany in 2017.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
This market resolves to Yes, if Segregated Witness activates on the Bitcoin blockchain with the highest hashing power before November 1st 2017. Otherwise the market resolves to No. The resolution date of this market may be accelerated. Bets matched after the antedated resolution date will be voided.
This market tracks the market share of Bitcoin Unlimited or it's successors relative to all hard forks of Bitcoin combined that were created after March 22th. This market is void, if no hard fork occurs or if the Bitcoin Unlimited hard fork could never sustain more than 10% of the total hash rate for more than 30 continious days. If the Bitcoin Unlimited hard fork is not publicly traded on the resolution date, the price shall be determined as the first traded price after the resolution date. If no price can be determined within 30 days, this market settles to the relative hash rate of Bitcoin Unlimited. The settlement will be based on the Fairlay BTC/USD index. https://fairlay.com/faq/#27
This bet will resolve to YES if Trump is still President of the United States on January 20 (noon, Eastern time), and will resolve to NO if Trump leaves office before that date for ANY reason (impeachment, resignation, health issues, assassination, coup...). . The resolution date of this market may be accelerated. Bets matched after the antedated resolution date will be voided.
This is a derivative contract (CFD) priced in USD that tracks the prices of Bitcoin, or the sum of all relevant Bitcoin hard forks that may occur if the NY agreement succeeds. Both conditions of the Bitcoin Scaling Agreement from Consensus 2017, known as ‘Segwit2x’, (Activate Segregated Witness; Activate a 2 MB hard fork within six months) must be met before March 1, 2018. If not, this market is void. A relevant consensus breaking forks must account for at least 10% of the total price and hash rate on resolution date to be included. If a hard fork that has more than 10% of the total hashing power is not publicly traded on the resolution date, the price of this particular hard fork shall be determined as the first traded price after the resolution date. If the hash rate of the NY agreement fork drops below 10% before or price can be established, the market is void. The settlement will be based on the Fairlay USD/BTC settlement index. https://fairlay.com/faq/#27
Donald Trump shall be president of the United States at 11:59:59 p.m.(ET) on December 31, 2018.