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The candidate named in the question shall be elected chancellor of Germany in 2017.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
This market tracks the market share of Bitcoin Unlimited or it's successors relative to all other versions of Bitcoin. This includes only versions that were created after March 22th. This market is void, if no hard fork occurs or if the Bitcoin Unlimited hard fork could never sustain more than 10% of the total hash rate for more than 30 continious days. If the Bitcoin Unlimited hard fork is not publicly traded on the resolution date, the price shall be determined as the first traded price after the resolution date. If no price can be determined within 30 days, this market settles to the relative hash rate of Bitcoin Unlimited. The settlement will be based on the Fairlay BTC/USD index. https://fairlay.com/faq/#27
This bet will resolve to YES if Trump is still President of the United States on January 20 (noon, Eastern time), and will resolve to NO if Trump leaves office before that date for ANY reason (impeachment, resignation, health issues, assassination, coup...). . The resolution date of this market may be accelerated. Bets matched after the antedated resolution date will be voided.