The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the parties that shall make up the first governing coalition of Germany subsequent to the next federal election.
A party shall be considered to be part of a governing coalition if a majority of its representatives in the Bundestag cast a vote in favor of the election of the next Chancellor of Germany subsequent to the next federal election.
For purposes of this market, any contract that references the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) shall also be considered to reference the Christian Social Union in Bavaria.
Supplementary Comment(s)
Created On: 09/02/2021 12:48 PM (ET)
In response to trader inquiry: The contract that resolves to Yes shall list all of the parties that make up the coalition, and only those parties.For example, if a contract lists only two parties and the coalition includes more than just those two, that contract will resolve as No.Potential coalitions may be added to this market as needed.
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the winner of the 2022 Democratic nomination for Governor of New York.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the person who wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.president.Replacement of the nominee for any reason prior to election day will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
Which political party will win the 2024 presidential election in the USA?
If there is any doubt as to the winner, it will be settled based on who is officially inaugurated and sworn in as president, whenever that takes place. Any political party other than the Democrats or Republicans will be considered as "third party." In the unlikely event there is no winner, bet will resolve for third party.
This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that President Joe Biden resigns and permanently departs from the office of the presidency before the End Date listed below.A temporary transfer of presidential powers and duties under Section 3 of the 25th Amendment to the U.S.Constitution shall not be sufficient to cause this market to resolve to Yes.
Which Party's candidate will be elected/appointed the next Chancellor of Germany as a result of the 2021 German election?,If a new Chancellor is not elected/appointed as a result of the first 2021 German federal election and a new election is called by the President of Germany then this market will be void.,At the start of voting on the day of the election, this market will be,turned in-play,with unmatched bets cancelled. Customers are entirely responsible for their positions at all times.
This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that Rep.Liz Cheney wins the 2022 Republican nomination for Representative in Congress from Wyoming's At-Large district.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
