Rod Rosenstein shall be U.S.Deputy Attorney General at 11:59 p.m.(ET) on November 7, 2018.A departure that is announced as effective at midnight at the end of the day on November 7, 2018 shall cause this market to resolve as Yes.
Who will be the winner of U.S. Presidential Election in November 2020? The election of President and Vice President of the United States is an indirect election in which citizens of the United States who are registered to vote in one of the 50 U.S. states or Washington, D.C. cast ballots for members of the U.S. Electoral College, known as electors. These electors then in turn cast direct votes, known as electoral votes, for President and Vice President. The candidate who receives an absolute majority of electoral votes for President or Vice President (currently, at least 270 out of a total of 538) is then elected to that office. - Predict election outcomes and Trump’s exit date on the Fairlay news section. Bet on the Game of Thrones characters using Bitcoins and be crowned with the Iron Throne. Forecast anything; from entertainment to politics and win big!We provide a completely open market, meaning you can set your markets like Betfair. Trade on the results of the upcoming elections like all general elections.
This market will resolve to YES if Trump is still President of the United States on January 20 (noon, Eastern time), and will resolve to NO if Trump leaves office before that date for ANY reason (impeachment, resignation, health issues, assassination, coup...). The resolution date of this market may be accelerated. Bets matched after the antedated resolution date will be voided. New York City real estate developer and reality TV star Donald Trump (1946- ) was elected America’s 45th president in November 2016. The billionaire businessman ran as a Republican and scored an upset victory over his Democratic opponent, Hillary Clinton. Trump began his career working for his father’s real estate development firm, taking over its leadership in the 1970s. In the ensuing decades, he acquired and built hotels, office towers, casinos and golf courses and also appeared on 14 seasons of “The Apprentice.” He is the first person ever elected to the U.S. presidency without any previous government or military experience.
Which party will control a majority of seats as a result of the 2018 US House of Representatives elections? Note: A majority of seats requires either party to win at least 218 of the total 435 House of Representatives seats in contention. Independent or any other party Representatives caucusing with either the Democrats or Republicans will NOT count for the purposes of this market. Unmatched bets will not be cancelled at any point up until the stated time on the day of election when this market will be, turned in-play. Thereafter, the market will not be actively managed and users are responsible for their positions.
Which party will control the majority of seats as a result of the 2018 U.S. Senate elections? Note: A majority of seats requires either party to control at least 51 of the 100 Seats in the U.S. Senate. Independent or any other party Representatives caucusing with either the Democrats or Republicans will NOT count for the purposes of this market. Unmatched bets will not be cancelled at any point up until the stated time on the day of election when this market will be turned in-play. Thereafter, the market will not be actively managed and users are responsible for their positions.
Bob Menendez shall be the winner of the 2018 general election for U.S.Senator from New Jersey.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
The winner of the 2018 Arizona general election for U.S.Senate shall be the nominee of, or have a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference of, the party identified in the question. Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
At the beginning of the 116th Congress, the number of representatives who were elected with a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with, or who have publicly stated an intention to caucus with the party identified in the question shall be greater than half the number of voting members of the House of Representatives. Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
The candidate identified in the question shall be elected President of Brazil in the 2018 general election.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
Joe Donnelly shall be the winner of the 2018 general election for U.S.Senator from Indiana.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
Joe Manchin shall be the winner of the 2018 general election for U.S.Senator from West Virginia. Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
The winner of the 2018 Tennessee general election for U.S.Senate shall be the nominee of, or have a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference of, the party identified in the question.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
Duncan Hunter shall be the winner of the 2018 general election for Representative in Congress from California's 50th District.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
The winner of the 2018 general election for Representative in Congress from West Virginia's 3rd District shall be the nominee of, or have a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference of, the party identified in the question.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
The winner of the 2018 Georgia gubernatorial general election shall be the nominee of, or have a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference of, the party identified in the question.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
The winner of the 2018 special general election for U.S.Senator from Mississippi shall be the candidate identified in the question.Should such an election (including any runoff that may be required to determine the winner) not be held in 2018, all questions in this Market will resolve as No.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
At the beginning of the 116th Congress, the number of senators who were elected with a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with, or who have publicly stated an intention to caucus with the party identified in the question, shall, if the president has the same party affiliation, be equal to or greater than half the number of voting members of the U.S.Senate, and if the president has a different party affiliation, be greater than half the number of voting members of the U.S.Senate.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
The winner of the 2018 Connecticut gubernatorial general election shall be the nominee of, or have a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference of, the party identified in the question.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
What will be the official date that the United Kingdom leaves the EU? For the purposes of this market leaving the EU is defined as the date when the treaties of the EU cease to apply to the UK. Examples of when this might occur include, but are not limited, to: the date specified in a withdrawal agreement between the UK and the EU; the end of the two year negotiating period (29/03/2019) as set out by Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty (or any extension to this time period); or the date of the repeal of the 1972 European Communities Act. If more than one of these events were to occur, this market will be settled on the first of these events to occur. In the case of the two year time period in Article 50 being extended, via a unanimous vote by all EU Member States, we will settle this market on the extended date. This market will settle when the UK leaves the EU even if parts of the UK (e.g. Scotland, Northern Ireland) leave the UK or receive special status within the EU.
Tina Smith shall be the winner of the 2018 general election for U.S.Senator from Minnesota.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
The winner of the 2018 special general election for U.S.Senator from Minnesota shall be the nominee of, or have a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference of, the party identified in the question.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.Should there be no such election in 2018, all questions in this Market will resolve as No.
Who will be elected to be the Republican Party presidential nominee for the 2020 U.S. presidential election? This market will be settled on the candidate voted to be the Republican Party nominee as a result of the 2020 Republican National Convention. This market will be, turned in-play, with unmatched bets cancelled at the start of the 2020 Republican National Convention. Thereafter, this market will not be actively managed. Customers are entirely responsible for their bets at all times. Additional runners may be added to this market upon request. All bets stand run or not.
Debbie Stabenow shall be the winner of the 2018 general election for U.S.Senator from Michigan. Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
When will Donald Trump officially cease to be the President of the United States of America? This includes, but is not limited to, if Donald Trump leaves office due to death (excluding assassination), incapacity, illness, impeachment or resignation (or anything comparable). All [unsettled] bets will be voided if Donald Trump ceases to be President of the United States of America due to an assassination or an assassination attempt. If Donald Trump fails to be inaugurated then this market will be void. New York City real estate developer and reality TV star Donald Trump (1946- ) was elected America’s 45th president in November 2016. The billionaire businessman ran as a Republican and scored an upset victory over his Democratic opponent, Hillary Clinton. Trump began his career working for his father’s real estate development firm, taking over its leadership in the 1970s. In the ensuing decades, he acquired and built hotels, office towers, casinos and golf courses and also appeared on 14 seasons of “The Apprentice.” He is the first person ever elected to the U.S. presidency without any previous government or military experience. - Predict election outcomes and Trump’s exit date on the Fairlay news section. Bet on the Game of Thrones characters using Bitcoins and be crowned with the Iron Throne. Forecast anything; from entertainment to politics and win big!We provide a completely open market, meaning you can set your markets like Betfair. Trade on the results of the upcoming elections like all general elections.
At the beginning of the 116th Congress, the number of U.S. Representatives who were elected with a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with, or who have publicly stated an intention to caucus with the Republican Party shall be the number or range identified in the question.
The individual identified in the question shall be the first-elected speaker of the U.S.House of Representatives in the 116th Congress.An individual elected, appointed, acting as, and/or sworn in as speaker pro tempore will be insufficient to cause the question listing that individual to resolve as Yes.
Will Donald Trump be president of the United States at 11:59:59 p.m.(ET) on December 31, 2019? New York City real estate developer and reality TV star Donald Trump (1946- ) was elected America’s 45th president in November 2016. The billionaire businessman ran as a Republican and scored an upset victory over his Democratic opponent, Hillary Clinton. Trump began his career working for his father’s real estate development firm, taking over its leadership in the 1970s. In the ensuing decades, he acquired and built hotels, office towers, casinos and golf courses and also appeared on 14 seasons of “The Apprentice.” He is the first person ever elected to the U.S. presidency without any previous government or military experience.
At the beginning of the 116th Congress, the balance of power in the U.S.Congress shall reflect the characterization in the question, per the definitions listed below."Republican Senate" means 50 or more sitting U.S.Senators were elected with a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with, or have publicly stated an intention to caucus with the Republican Party."Democratic Senate" means fewer than 50 sitting U.S.Senators were elected with a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with, or have publicly stated an intention to caucus with the Republican Party."Republican House" means 218 or more sitting U.S.Representatives were elected with a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with, or have publicly stated an intention to caucus with the Republican Party."Democratic House" fewer than 218 sitting U.S.Representatives were elected with a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with, or have publicly stated an intention to caucus with the Republican Party.
Jon Tester shall be the winner of the 2018 general election for U.S.Senator from Montana.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
On or before December 31, 2018 and subsequent to the launch of this market, former deputy director of the FBI Andrew McCabe shall be indicted or otherwise formally charged with a federal crime in the United States, as confirmed on or before December 31, 2018 by an authorized representative of the charging agency(ies) or judicial venue(s).
The winner of the 2018 Minnesota gubernatorial general election shall be the nominee of, or have a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference of, the party identified in the question.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
Tammy Baldwin shall be the winner of the 2018 general election for U.S.Senator from Wisconsin.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
Former Donald Trump presidential campaign advisor Roger Stone shall be indicted or otherwise formally charged with a federal crime on or before December 31, 2018, as confirmed on or before that date by an authorized representative of the charging agency(ies) or judicial venue(s).
The individual identified in the question shall win the 2020 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S.president.Replacement of the nominee for any reason prior to election day will have no impact on the resolution of this market.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
The winner of the 2018 general election for Representative in Congress from Virginia's 2nd District shall be the nominee of, or have a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference of, the party identified in the question.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
Dean Heller shall be the winner of the 2018 general election for U.S.Senator from Nevada.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
Will Hurd shall be the winner of the 2018 general election for Representative in Congress from Texas's 23rd District.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
Will the United Kingdom officially leave the European Union before the 29/03/2019? For the purposes of this market leaving the EU is defined as the date when the treaties of the EU cease to apply to the UK. Examples of when this might occur include, but are not limited, to: the date specified in a withdrawal agreement between the UK and the EU; the end of the two year negotiating period (29/03/2019) as set out by Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty (or any extension to this time period); or the date of the repeal of the 1972 European Communities Act. If more than one of these events were to occur, this market will be settled on the first of these events to occur. In the case of the two year time period in Article 50 being extended, via a unanimous vote by all EU Member States, we will settle this market on the extended date. This market will settle when the UK leaves the EU even if parts of the UK (e.g. Scotland, Northern Ireland) leave the UK or receive special status within the EU.
The winner of the 2018 Kansas gubernatorial general election shall be the nominee of, or have a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference of, the party identified in the question.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
Heidi Heitkamp shall be the winner of the 2018 general election for U.S.Senator from North Dakota.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
On or before December 31, 2018, Donald Trump, while serving as president, shall provide sworn testimony, whether written or oral, to Robert Mueller or one or more other members of the Special Counsel for the United States Department of Justice team, in the course of their investigation of Russian interference with the 2016 presidential election or related matters.Disclosure by the White House, the Special Counsel team, and/or an authorized representative of the Department of Justice that such testimony occurred must take place on or before that date.
Attorney and professional race car driver Michael John Avenatti shall become a candidate for president of the United States in the 2020 general election, by filing a Statement of Candidacy and/or a Statement of Organization of an exploratory committee for the office of president with the Federal Election Commission.Absent such filing(s), the Market will not resolve to Yes, notwithstanding declarations by Mr.Avenatti and/or his representatives regarding intentions to run, fundraising activities, hiring of campaign staff, and/or establishment of other campaign infrastructure.
On or before December 31, 2018 and subsequent to the launch of this market, Podesta Group founder Anthony Podesta shall be indicted or otherwise formally charged with a federal crime, as confirmed on or before December 31, 2018 by an authorized representative of the charging agency(ies) or judicial venue(s).
At the beginning of the 116th Congress, the number of U.S.Senators who were elected with a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with, or who have publicly stated an intention to caucus with the Republican Party shall be the number or range identified in the question.
Following the launch of this market, Donald Trump, while serving as president of the United States, shall meet in person with Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, as either president or president-elect of Mexico, at or before 11:59:59 p.m.(ET), December 31, 2018.Public disclosure by the White House of the meeting and the meeting itself must both occur (though not necessarily conclude) on or before that date.
The U.S.economy shall experience at least two consecutive quarters with a negative annual growth rate in real gross domestic product, as rounded to the first decimal, according to the third estimate of such quarters' GDP growth rates released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.Should Mr.Trump not complete his first term in office, only those quarters during part or all of which he served as president may qualify.Neither data nor announcements published by the National Bureau of Economic Research's Business Cycle Dating Committee or any federal agency other than the Bureau of Economic Analysis will have any bearing on the resolution of this market, unless selected as an alternate source in the absence of the availability of the prescribed settlement source.
At or before 11:59:59 p.m.(ET) December 31, 2018, Robert Mueller shall cease to serve as special counsel overseeing the investigation into Russian interference in the 2016 United States elections and related matters, whether due to his resignation, termination, or other means, as confirmed at or before that date and time by Mr.Mueller, the Department of Justice or an authorized representative of either.No replacement need be named to replace Mr.Mueller's in that role or function.
The winner of the 2018 Florida gubernatorial general election shall be the nominee of, or have a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference of, the party identified in the question.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
When will Donald Trump officially cease to be the President of the United States of America? This includes, but is not limited to, if Donald Trump leaves office due to death (excluding assassination), incapacity, illness, impeachment or resignation (or anything comparable). All [unsettled] bets will be voided if Donald Trump ceases to be President of the United States of America due to an assassination or an assassination attempt. If Donald Trump fails to be inaugurated then this market will be void. New York City real estate developer and reality TV star Donald Trump (1946- ) was elected America’s 45th president in November 2016. The billionaire businessman ran as a Republican and scored an upset victory over his Democratic opponent, Hillary Clinton. Trump began his career working for his father’s real estate development firm, taking over its leadership in the 1970s. In the ensuing decades, he acquired and built hotels, office towers, casinos and golf courses and also appeared on 14 seasons of “The Apprentice.” He is the first person ever elected to the U.S. presidency without any previous government or military experience.
