News Markets

Will Donald Trump be president at year-end 2018?Donald Trump shall be president of the United States at 11:59:59 p.m.(ET) on December 31, 2018.
Trump exit datetrump-exit-date
Will Donald Trump remain President of the United States until january 2020 ?This bet will resolve to YES if Trump is still President of the United States on January 20 (noon, Eastern time), and will resolve to NO if Trump l...
Will Donald Trump be impeached in 2017?By 11:59:59 p.m.(ET) on December 31, 2017, the full U.S.House of Representatives shall, by simple majority vote, approve or pass one or more articl...
Will Elizabeth Warren be re-elected to the U.S. Senate in Massachusetts in 2018?Elizabeth Warren shall be the winner of the 2018 general election for U.S.Senator from Massachusetts.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in sett...
Will Facebook's Mark Zuckerberg run for president in 2020?Facebook co-founder Mark Zuckerberg shall become a candidate for president of the United States in the 2020 general election, by filing a Statement...
Which party will control the House after 2018 midterms?At the beginning of the 116th Congress, the number of representatives who were elected with a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation w...
Will Ted Cruz be re-elected to the U.S. Senate in Texas in 2018?Ted Cruz shall be the winner of the 2018 general election for U.S.Senator from Texas.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past...
Will Bernie Sanders be re-elected to the U.S. Senate in Vermont in 2018?Bernie Sanders shall be the winner of the 2018 general election for U.S.Senator from Vermont.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement w...
Which party will win the 2020 U.S. presidential election?The winner of the 2020 general presidential election shall be the nominee of the party identified in the question.For purposes of this market, a pa...
Will Robert Ritchie (aka Kid Rock) run for Senate in 2018?Recording artist Robert James Ritchie (aka Kid Rock) shall become a candidate for U.S.Senate in the 2018 general election, by filing a Statement of...
Will Donald Trump be the 2020 Republican nominee for president?Donald Trump shall win the 2020 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S.president.Replacement of the nominee for any reason prior to election da...
Individual tax cut by 2017?Legislation shall be enacted prior to the end of 2017, setting the marginal federal tax rate applicable to the highest bracket of ordinary income o...
Will Rex Tillerson be Secretary of State on December 31?Rex Tillerson shall be U.S.Secretary of State at 11:59 p.m.(ET) on December 31, 2017.
Which party will win the 2017 Virginia gubernatorial race?The winner of the 2017 Virginia gubernatorial general election shall be the nominee of, or have a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party pre...
Will John Kelly be White House chief of staff on December 31?John Kelly shall be White House chief of staff at 11:59 p.m.(ET) on December 31, 2017.
Corporate tax cut by 2017?Legislation shall be enacted prior to the end of 2017, setting the marginal federal tax rate applicable to the highest bracket of regular income of...
Will the alternative minimum tax be repealed in 2017?On or before December 31, 2017, legislation shall be enacted which repeals or amends Section 55(a) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1986, with the e...
Will Donald Trump be president at year-end 2019?Donald Trump shall be president of the United States at 11:59:59 p.m.(ET) on December 31, 2019.
Will Kim Jong Un be Supreme Leader of North Korea at year-end 2017?Kim Jong Un shall be head of state of the Democratic People's Republic of Korea at 11:59:59 p.m.(ET) on December 31, 2017, according to the United ...
Will "Calexit" initiative qualify for the 2018 ballot in California?The California Independence from the United States Initiative (#16-0011, or an amended version thereof) shall qualify for the November 6, 2018 ball...
Will the estate tax be repealed in 2017?On or before December 31, 2017, legislation shall be enacted which repeals or amends chapter 11 of subtitle B of the Internal Revenue Code of 1986,...
Will Dwayne "the Rock" Johnson run for president in 2020?Actor and professional wrestler Dwayne Johnson shall become a candidate for president of the United States in the 2020 general election, by filing ...
Will Netanyahu be indicted in 2017?Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu shall be indicted or otherwise formally charged with a crime in 2017 by the office of Israel's attorney g...
Who will win the 2017 U.S. Senate special election in Alabama?The winner of the 2017 special general election for U.S.Senator from Alabama shall be the candidate identified in the question.Should there be no s...
Who will be elected Seattle mayor in 2017?The individual identified in the question shall be elected mayor of Seattle in 2017.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past ...
Which of the 24 people on Trump s Cabinet list will leave first?Following the launch of this market, the first among the officials collectively named in the questions in this market to cease to formally hold the...
Will the 2020 Democratic nominee for president be a woman?A woman shall win the 2020 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.president.Replacement of the nominee for any reason prior to election day wil...
Who will be Trump's next Supreme Court nominee?Following the launch of this Market, the next individual nominated by President Trump to the United States Supreme Court before he leaves office sh...
Will Mitt Romney run for Senate in 2018?Former governor Willard Mitt Romney shall become a candidate for U.S.Senate in the 2018 general election, by filing a Statement of Candidacy and/or...
Will Debbie Stabenow be re-elected to the U.S. Senate in Michigan in 2018?Debbie Stabenow shall be the winner of the 2018 general election for U.S.Senator from Michigan.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement...
Year of Next UK Election?When will the next UK General Election take place after the Election on the 8th June 2017?,This market will be settled as Yes on the morning of the...
Will Jared Kushner publicly testify before Congress in 2017?Jared Kushner shall testify, in person, under subpoena or otherwise, before an open hearing of any Senate, House, joint, select, or special committ...
Will legislation strip federal funds from sanctuary cities in 2017?Federal legislation shall be enacted prior to the end of 2017, with the effect of denying some or all existing federal assistance under section 241...
Will 2017 legislation classify carried interest as ordinary income?Legislation shall be enacted prior to the end of 2017, amending the Internal Revenue Code with the effect of newly treating as ordinary income at l...
Will "Kate's Law" be enacted in 2017?U.S.federal legislation shall be enacted prior to the end of 2017, which bears a short title that includes the precise phrase "Kate's Law" and/or e...
Will Richard Cordray be CFPB director at year-end?Richard Cordray shall be director of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau at 11:59 p.m.(ET) on December 31, 2017.
Will a federal criminal charge be filed against Paul Manafort in 2017?Former Donald Trump presidential campaign manager Paul Manafort shall be indicted or otherwise formally charged with a federal crime in 2017, as co...
Will Jacob Zuma be president of South Africa on Dec. 31, 2017?Jacob Zuma shall hold the office of President of South Africa at 11:59:59 pm.(ET) on December 31, 2017.
Next Chair of the Federal ReserveWho will be the next Chair of the Federal Reserve, after Janet Yellen's current term?,For this market to be settled the nominee’s appointment must ...
Who will be Senate-confirmed Fed Chair on February 4, 2018?The individual named in the question shall be Chair of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System at 11:59:59 p.m.(ET) on February 4, 201...
Will Donald Trump be impeached by year-end 2018?By 11:59:59 p.m.(ET) on December 31, 2018, the full U.S.House of Representatives shall, by simple majority vote, approve or pass one or more articl...
Scottish Referendum before 2019scottish-referendum-before-2019
How many House seats will the GOP hold after 2018 midterms?At the beginning of the 116th Congress, the number of U.S.Representatives who were elected with a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliati...
UK to leave the EU by 29/03/2019?Will the United Kingdom officially leave the European Union before the 29/03/2019?,For the purposes of this market leaving the EU is defined as the...
First to Happen - Brexit/May to Leave?Which will occur first? The United Kingdom officially leaves the European Union or Teresa May leaves the office of Prime Minister?,For the purposes...
Trump Exit DateIn what year will Donald Trump officially cease to be President of the United States of America? Source for settlement: https://www.whitehouse.g...
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