Will there be a US recession by the end of 2020?,For the purposes of this market a recession is defined as two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth based on rates released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). We will only settle once final quarterly revisions have been released by the BEA.,Rule updated 10/09/2019
During his first term, President Donald Trump shall grant clemency to political consultant Roger Jason Stone Jr.for one or more criminal offences, charges or convictions.Such clemency will be considered to have been granted only if Mr.Stone appears on the official list of presidential pardons and commutations granted by President Trump, maintained by the U.S.Department of Justice's Office of the Pardon Attorney (available upon launch of this market at https://www.justice.gov/pardon/clemencyrecipients) by 11:59 pm on February 15, 2021 (the “End Date”).
Clemency for Mr.Stone that is announced but does not appear on such official list by the End Date shall not be sufficient to cause this market to resolve Yes.Subsequent removal, revocation or legal challenge to a clemency grant that appears on the official list at any time before the End Date shall have no bearing on the outcome of this market.
During his first term, President Donald Trump shall grant clemency to former National Security Advisor Michael Flynn for one or more criminal offences, charges or convictions.Such clemency will be considered to have been granted only if Mr.Flynn appears on the official list of presidential pardons and commutations granted by President Trump, maintained by the U.S.Department of Justice's Office of the Pardon Attorney (available upon launch of this market at https://www.justice.gov/pardon/clemencyrecipients) by 11:59 pm on February 15, 2021 (the “End Date”).
Clemency for Mr.Flynn that is announced but does not appear on such official list by the End Date shall not be sufficient to cause this market to resolve Yes.Subsequent removal, revocation or legal challenge to a clemency grant that appears on the official list at any time before the End Date shall have no bearing on the outcome of this market.
This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that Kim Jong Un is Head of State of the Democratic People's Republic of Korea at the End Date listed below, according to the United Nations' Protocol and Liaison Service's list of heads of state, located upon launch of this market at protocol.un.org/dgacm/pls/site.nsf/HSHGNFA.xsp (the "Settlement Source").
The candidate elected vice president in the 2020 U.S.general election shall be female.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which corresponds to the first date or date range (ET) when the Fox News and CNN networks will have both officially declared, or otherwise projected, the same person as the winner of the 2020 U.S.Presidential election, such that both networks' qualifying declarations or projections are in effect at the same time.
Once the conditions for a Yes outcome have been met, subsequent rescission or revocation of a qualifying declaration or projection shall have no bearing on the outcome of this market.
In the event that no other contract has resolved to Yes by December 14, 2020, the contract "After December 14" shall resolve to Yes.
Subsequent to the launch of this market, former mayor of New York Rudolph Giuliani shall be indicted or otherwise formally charged with a federal crime, as publicly confirmed on or before December 31, 2020 by an authorized representative of the charging agency(ies) or judicial venue(s).
Subsequent to the launch of this market, Hunter Biden, son of former U.S.Vice President Joe Biden, shall be indicted or otherwise formally charged with a federal crime, as publicly confirmed on or before December 31, 2020 by an authorized representative of the charging agency(ies) or judicial venue(s).
The winner of the popular vote in New Hampshire for the 2020 general election for U.S.President shall be the nominee of, or have a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference of, the party identified in the contract.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
The winner of the first-occurring 2020 Arizona special election for U.S.Senate shall be the nominee of, or have a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference of, the party identified in the question.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
The winner of the first-occurring 2020 Colorado general election for U.S.Senate shall be the nominee of, or have a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference of, the party identified in the question.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
The winner of the popular vote in Virginia for the 2020 general election for U.S.President shall be the nominee of, or have a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference of, the party identified in the contract.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which corresponds to the first date or date range (ET) when the Fox News and CNN networks will have both officially declared, or otherwise projected, the same person as the winner of the popular vote of the 2020 U.S.Presidential election in Florida, such that both networks' qualifying declarations or projections are in effect at the same time.
Once the conditions for a Yes outcome have been met, subsequent rescission or revocation of a qualifying declaration or projection shall have no bearing on the outcome of this market.
In the event that no other contract has resolved to Yes by December 14, 2020, the contract "After December 14" shall resolve to Yes.
